PPI came in higher than expected, and is up 6.9% year over year. Core PPI excluding Food and Energy was in-line with expectations. Nothing else was really a market mover.
I sold MUR for a 51 cent gain, which was a modest 8.4% profit since yesterday. I also sold more APOL for a nice gain. I am averaging about a 30% return on APOL so far. I dumped XLI for only a $70.00 gain, just a scratch trade. I am sitting on just a little bit of stuff ahead of the BIG 3, which are INTC tonight, and JPM and PPI tomorrow. There is so much information to come tomorrow with earnings and economic reports that it won't do much good to micro-analyze all the minutia.
There is a lot of news out, a lot more to come, and a lot of ways you can read it and speculate. In fact, there is so much that it may be best to just sit and watch, and wait for Big Money to tip its hand as to where they want to take the market in coming weeks.
Here are some Bullish movers: INFY (breakout), MEE (bounce), SPWR (bounce), RRC (bounce), BHP (bounce), DRYS (bounce), MDR (bounce), and AMX (bounce). Steel may be on the move again and X, STLD, MTL, and AKS bear watching. Gold may be on the move as an anti-inflation play, with AEM and GG looking the strongest. If INTC pops the Naz and Chips tomorrow, I may play the Q's, and also look at SNDK, KLAC, and CY (but CY has earnings in 2 days so I would be quick or not at all).
Here are some Bearish movers: LVS (breakdown), WYNN (breakdown yesterday), RTN (rolled over, then broke down yesterday), MRK (may be ready to roll over), and the short ETF's (SDS, DXD, and QID look like they want to roll over, which would coincide with the market bouncing short-term).
There is so much information for the market to digest by the open tomorrow, and throughout the day, that I still want to be nimble, and keep my positions smaller.
Some days are tougher for me to post than others, like today. I am usually trying to throw something on here or there, between phone calls, or on a break. I answered the last comment questions from yesterday and today this evening. Eventually I may be able to focus strictly on trading with you, but for now, I have to squeeze things in as I can. All in all though, I think things are going pretty well. A lot of you are making good progress. Keep up the good work.
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
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Dwight- how do you determine where "the big money " is putting their money on an intra-day basis. What points to this early in the day? Your posts are so very helpful - thank you for all your input!!!!!!!!!
ReplyDeleteClaudia R.
Dwight,
ReplyDeleteHow many postions do you suggest we hold this week? I'm in two trades right now. I entered yesterday.
Do you prefer entering trades once the bull flag is broken or close to being broken? How much of a break are you looking for before entering a trade?
--Yvette
Dwight,
ReplyDeleteI'm going through my watchlist and I see gold is heading up again. What are your thoughts going long on gold?
Sorry about that I didn't see the rest of the post when I asked about the gold.
ReplyDeleteDwight,
ReplyDeleteYour blog is great! I think that I can speak for all of us who visit your page when I say; "your efforts are very appreciated." Please don't let your blog become a burden, I'm sure your plate is full between working and trading your own account. I would hate to see you go. I think your practical approach to trading is invaluable because we don't trade in a perfect world. I have learned more from you in the past few weeks than any book could teach in a lifetime. I commend your teacher on a fine student and I hope to be your protege. Keep up the good work.
Thank you,
Gary
Hi Dwight,
ReplyDeleteWhen you say "I look at price movement, sector movement...", what do you use to guage sector movement? Are you looking at sector ETFs or are you combing charts of all 300-500 stocks you have been following to see which stocks are making moves and then determine the sectors that are strong?
I learn more from you thinking out loud than some of the other lecturers actually teaching. Greatly appreciate your efforts on this blog.
ReplyDeleteSung
Good morning Dwight,
ReplyDeleteLittle confused on RIG. Is the downgrade the other day reason for decline? I was going to add a little here.
Thanks,
Gary