Dow: IT Bullish and ST Bullish to Neutral. The Dow has resistance in the 13,050 - 13,150 area, and is in more danger of an IT trend change than the other two major indexes because it has not made a higher high yet. The Dow is definitely the laggard of the three major indexes right now.
SPX: IT Bullish and ST Bullish to Neutral. The SPX has resistance in the 1,430 - 1,445 area. The current upswing has been strong, but it is getting a little long in the tooth now.
Naz: IT Bullish and ST Bullish to Neutral. The Naz has resistance in the 2,540 - 2,550 area. The Naz has been the strongest major index lately. The Nasdaq 100 has been even stronger. The current upswing has been very bullish, but it is also getting very long in the tooth at this point.
Big Tech, Energy, and Commodities have been leading the way for the past 6 weeks. The Mid-Caps (and to an extent Large-Caps) have also been strong (quite a bit stronger than Small-Caps and Mega-Caps), probably because of buying interest in Energy, Commodity, and some Tech stocks in those size ranges. The current upswing on the Naz (and especially the Nasdaq 100) is really looking extended. The SPX swing might have another day or two because of Energy and some Commodity stocks, but I'm not looking for the current market upswing to last beyond Tuesday. It may finish out on Monday or Tuesday morning.
Here is a Grid Chart of the Three Major Indexes along with the Nasdaq 100:
(click on image to enlarge)

(click on image to enlarge)

Here is my Weekly Watchlist. Make sure to check the option spreads before paper trading. Ideally, I want spreads of .10-.20 cents on options for stocks between 20-200 dollars.
BULLISH SECTORS/GROUPS AND STOCKS:
Energy: ESV, MUR, OXY, NBR, RDC, DO, RIG, NOV, MRO, PDE, NE, EOG, XTO, UPL, APA, WMB, BHI, (SU, CAM, HES, CNQ, NBL, ECA, SII, PXD, APC, FTI), SLB
Coal: ACI, (CNX, BTU), MEE
Transportation Shipping: (DRYS, EXM, GNK, DSX), ATW
Metals/Mining: (ANR, WLT, FDG), CCJ, PCP
Steel: MTL, STLD, RIO, AKS, (SID, GGB, X, CLF, TS)
Copper: FCX
Aluminum: AA
Tech: (CSIQ, ENER, ADBE, AKAM, RIMM, SOHU, SINA, ADSK, IBM, AAPL, INFY, VRSN), FSLR, CTXS, SPWR, STP, VMW
Manufacturing/Machinery: (CMI, PH, JOYG, FWLT, EMR, FLR), IR
Materials/Construction/Lumber: LUK, WY
Railroads: (UNP, BNI, CSX, NSC)
Agriculture: BG
Some Chemicals: (APD)
Some Financials: (MCO, LTR), V, MA, AXP
Some Retail: JWN, TIF, COST, (COH)
Note: VZ, T, FMCN, (JEC, CVS, MHP, DRS)
BEARISH SECTORS/GROUPS AND STOCKS:
Some Financials: HIG, STP, GS, MS, MER, ICE, LM, ALL, (AIG)
Note: VLO, SUN, HPQ, CEG, AMZN, ADM, DE, ZMH, ERTS, (FDX, UPS, JNJ)
Energy: ESV, MUR, OXY, NBR, RDC, DO, RIG, NOV, MRO, PDE, NE, EOG, XTO, UPL, APA, WMB, BHI, (SU, CAM, HES, CNQ, NBL, ECA, SII, PXD, APC, FTI), SLB
Coal: ACI, (CNX, BTU), MEE
Transportation Shipping: (DRYS, EXM, GNK, DSX), ATW
Metals/Mining: (ANR, WLT, FDG), CCJ, PCP
Steel: MTL, STLD, RIO, AKS, (SID, GGB, X, CLF, TS)
Copper: FCX
Aluminum: AA
Tech: (CSIQ, ENER, ADBE, AKAM, RIMM, SOHU, SINA, ADSK, IBM, AAPL, INFY, VRSN), FSLR, CTXS, SPWR, STP, VMW
Manufacturing/Machinery: (CMI, PH, JOYG, FWLT, EMR, FLR), IR
Materials/Construction/Lumber: LUK, WY
Railroads: (UNP, BNI, CSX, NSC)
Agriculture: BG
Some Chemicals: (APD)
Some Financials: (MCO, LTR), V, MA, AXP
Some Retail: JWN, TIF, COST, (COH)
Note: VZ, T, FMCN, (JEC, CVS, MHP, DRS)
BEARISH SECTORS/GROUPS AND STOCKS:
Some Financials: HIG, STP, GS, MS, MER, ICE, LM, ALL, (AIG)
Note: VLO, SUN, HPQ, CEG, AMZN, ADM, DE, ZMH, ERTS, (FDX, UPS, JNJ)
Gary,
ReplyDeleteI just read your comment regarding the DE stock trade. Oh my goodness that really blew my mind...that someone would buy - are you sure it was John Deere? ha ha
I'm just like you, I have come so far in how to pick stocks. Since April I've traded 20 times...15 went my way and 4 were losers. TWO that went against me in particular I'm very disappointed in how I handled it...I knew better. Right now I'm in SLB and I'm waiting patiently to see if it makes Dwight's good/bad list - I'll happily pull the plug on this one if I start to see hot fire place pokers. D.
Does anyone think that DBC looks like a bull flag breakout pattern? And breaking out on high volume too. D.
ReplyDeleteD.
ReplyDeleteI too see the bull flag w much higher volume Friday. It's just short of it's all time high of 40.89 set on 9May. I also see the drift lower (12-15May)was on weaker volume.
Hope this helps.
Robert
CANI
Hi Robert!!
ReplyDeleteGlad to see you on the chat!!
~Get well soon~
D.
D: nice job with your trading progress, keep up the good work. DBC is a Bull Flag bounce (I call ST consolidation Breakouts/Bounces all one thing - a Bounce). The spreads are pretty consistent at .20 cents, so it's a pretty decent setup. I would like it to be just a little more of a price mover with .20 cent spreads instead of .5-.10, but all in all it's decent.
ReplyDeleteCongrats D.
ReplyDeleteWould you mind sharing your rules?
Bob
Dwight,
ReplyDeleteHe's baaaaack....
I couldn't pass this one up. It's from Bloomberg this morning. I hope I pasted the link correctly. I guess a leopard never changes it's spots. I wonder if he specializes in a single strategy?
Ex-Amaranth Trader Hunter Helps Deliver 17% Gain for Peak Ridge
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aUlBVaEHAk04&refer=home
Have a great day!!
Gary
Gary: I love it, Maverick is back, and he feels the need, the need for speed...Brian Hunter made 17% last month doing the exact same thing that lost 100% of a 6.6b dollar fund. What happens if gas prices collapse? Boy this guy is a wheeler-dealer. I'm a very active trader, but I'm not a gambler. This guy.....
ReplyDelete