Saturday, June 21, 2008

Success Stories

I created this post so that you can see some positive trading experiences from your fellow traders. I will put some of your success stories on this post and keep adding to it over time. I think it will be a great way for you to support and inspire each other to persevere, even in challenging conditions.

If you have what you think are even modest successes, like going from losing money consistently to being breakeven, then share the story if you like in the comments section after any current post. Even those kinds of advancements for a beginning trader are crucial. And if you have had a profitable week or month, even under tough, choppy market conditions, then again, share the story if you like because those successes are actually more remarkable than many of you realize, especially for new options traders. Tell me your trading successes, whatever they are, and I will pass them along for everyone's benefit.


SUCCESS STORIES:

Dwight,

I started investools Jan 2008. I really started following you in March. When I decided to learn how to trade, I decided to set up a small account. I wanted to be conservative since I knew nothing about the market.

I thought you would interested in some numbers.

Jan-Feb - My account dropped 20% (pre-Dwight)

March-Today - My account has increased 62% from that point.

Thanks

Chic

June 17, 2008 3:57 PM

Dwight's the man.

June results are in and folowing Dwight pays off.

31% return on principal amount at risk

29 winners
6 losers

13 credit spreads
22 directional calls and puts

Avg winning trade $78.00
Avg losing trade $65.16

I was lucky today because I watched my puts yesterday spike up and was paralyzed to get out. Fortunatly the gap down brought them back into profitability. Follow the rules!!! A lesson well learned the market was kind on that mistake. Rookie mistake that turned out ok.

I have been following Dwight since Jan but never trend traded or swing traded until this month. Without Dwight's help the most I had made was 15% and would give it up the next month.

It pays to follow someone who is succesfull.

Thanks Dwight for all you do. See ya tonight.

My wife wants to know why we can't go out on Friday night. We all know why!!!

Vic "The crazy Florida boy"

June 20, 2008 4:48 PM


OK,

I wasn't going to share my numbers but I'll throw mine in. 3 weeks ago I lost 1% of my account balance in that week of trading. 2 weeks ago you remember I was so happy that I broke even, no loses. This past week even though I made a huge bonehead mistake today, I grew my account by 1.5%, I'm so happy. It's all following Dwight, in this headfake market that we have now you gotta spin on a dime like Dwight teaches.

Keith

June 20, 2008 9:39 PM


I started listening to Dwight 2 weeks ago and since that time here is what I have done.
25 wins
13 loses
10% overall gain after commisions in my account and a great trade on ANR Friday morning got filled at $10.30 and out at $14.45 in 2 hours.Correct me if I'm wrong but I think that qualifies for a Snoopy Dance.So thanks Dwight for the help and the extra effort in your page.

Garrett

June 28, 2008 2:03 PM


Dwight,

I got stopped out on one of my bear call spreads first thing this morning, then the stock price dropped back down. This made me mad enough to want to throw out all my stop loss rules (arghh*!@#!**). I said to myself, I'll just follow Dwight today WITHOUT MY RULES, and guess what: I made more than double REAL money on BNI with you (double the loss on my stopped out order). YOU helped me turn a losing day into a winning one, Dwight!

I realize that having made this money was just a quick fix, and following you does not make me a trader; only a copycat. But if I copy you enough times, I could learn to trade a bit more like you, with similar return rates (I hope sooner than later). In case you are bothered that you may be enabling the Mavericks and Gooses come lately, remember, THE TEACHER LEARNS MORE than his students, BY TEACHING the Mavericks and Gooses.

Ilona

July 30, 2008 3:55 PM


Hey Dwight..

I love your insight and wisdom. Thank you for taking the time to go into your ideas and real life stuff.
I held my ultra shorts until this am and the market did what you said it would. I was out flat within 10 minutes on 7 positions and had the biggest day I have EVER had.. huge... THANKS for all you do for us.


Bill F

September 16, 2008 10:18 PM


Hi Dwight

I played the inverse index etf's for good gain today.

bought SDS @ 68.81

Bought DXD @ 63.3 sold 1/3 @ 64.4 sold 1/3@ 64.81 (near close)

bought qid @ 50.26 sold 1/2@51.94

I am now positive for the last 2 weeks and for the last month and a half. This is good news for me since I had a negative slope on my equity curve for a long time. I credit listening to your advice on VC and this blog for the turn around.

Thanks,
Ken B

September 22, 2008 2:09 PM

20 comments:

  1. Dwight,

    The "other site" uses You Tube for video. I'll be on vacation this week, but I hope to check in at times.

    Gary

    ReplyDelete
  2. Dwight,

    How does one measure the force of "news" versus technical analysis (at which I am not terribly adept). For example, technically speaking it seems that X is ready to drop, yet I read and see that steel is "coming into play". How would you assess the news vs. analysis on that or any other stock.

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  3. bostonbruno: Technical Analysis is the study of price action, which is the net result of all buying and selling. Since Big Institutions are the primary drivers of price action, and since they have the most vested interest in their investments, they will stop at nothing to accomplish all the research and analysis they think is necessary in order to make profitable decisions. Therefore, I give the greatest weight, by far, to Technical Analysis.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Dwight,

    Thanks. I've been at this for a short time and have had limited success, but your systematic approach has given me hope.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Dwight,

    How do you feel about going long on PCU? It had high volume Friday and broke above the 20dma with next resis. around 117-118.

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  6. Jeremy: PCU is interesting, it's on my bullish watch for the week.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Jeremy,

    I like PCU also. I don't see it going as high as 117 or 118 though. I have a target of around 111-112.50.

    Joe

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  8. Hi Dwight

    In your analysis do you use or place any reliance on the fibonacci retracements? I am still trying to learn these but when I am determining what I believe may be support or resistance it seems uncanny how many fibonacci's there are around these levels. Or do you think these are just coincidences?

    Thanks for all your insight over the past week. Your analysis and thoughts have been very helpful.

    Ed

    ReplyDelete
  9. I'm also thinking about GHL. How do you see this one?

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  10. Joe,

    Thanks, I guess 117 is wishful thinking. I'd be happy w/ 111-112. Maybe start to scale out at the point. Looking closer at GHL I'm not sure I like the low volume. Maybe a really tight stop just under 60? It's also a countertrend (short term) trade.

    ReplyDelete
  11. It looks like pcu has had lower lows and lower hi's. May not be a good call candidate.

    Agu and tra might be setting up nice.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Jeremy,

    GHL looks good too. It's volume was pretty much on average and if you look at the intradays, all the volume came from the buying at the end of the day. I could definitly see this going to at least 61-61.50 to 63.50. I'd set a stop at just under 59 because I could see the market drop for a bit tomorrow.

    Joe

    ReplyDelete
  13. Ed: yes, I use Fibs as my backup horizontal support/resistance just like I use Moving Averages as my backup diagonal support/resistance. Fibs are a very valid technical tool because they are based on live price and not some derivative of price.

    Jeremy: GHL is like GS, it's a Broker (Regional) which is coming to life. Also, make sure you keep half an eye on FCX when your playing PCU, but PCU does look interesting to me.

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  14. I'm with SteveC regarding PCU.

    I see a long descending channel and fail break. I'd like to see it close near or above Friday's shadow before going long.

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  15. Dwight, what do you see that makes pcu bullish? Is it the gap with volume or are seeing the last few days as an equal low? Or maybe $100 is a longer term support with a round number?

    Thanx

    ReplyDelete
  16. Krystal: nice job on the NOK put. By the way, it's ok to tell us about your trades, just tell us what it is. You're in a hybrid swing trade that I call "Walking the Ten" because you're trade is probably going to last as long as NOK stays below the 10dma, and the trade will probably be about 1-3 weeks in duration. If you're trend trading NOK then you could say that you're "Walking the Twenty" or "Walking the Thirty" or "Trend Trading." It doesn't matter what your option strategy is, just let us know what the strategy (and exit strategy) is when you tell us. So don't feel like you have to hold back because it's not my "Short Swing" trading for a choppy market.

    Steve: PCU is Neutral to Bullish in a consolidation channel. It's starting to put pressure on the top side of the channel, and it's starting to pick up volume. So it's worth watching. Of course, a lot of stuff is worth watching each day. I don't play everything I watch, but I watch.

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  17. Dwight, due to my schedule I have only been able to watch your coaching a few times. It is awesome that you trade such short term swings with such success. I am 23yrs old and unfortunately have lost ~60of my account over the past year. While it is tempting to throw in the towel, I have 'invested' too much time and money to give up. Thanks to you my trades have turned around. Your comments on your page are great my only wish would be that there was more and more detail.

    In the most sincere way.
    Thank you for all you do.

    -Kevin

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  18. Bo...It looks like you made the turn around that I am looking for. I'd love to talk to you about the changes you've made. If you don't mind please email me at Kevin@kbcustomrods.com.

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  19. Hi again Dwight,
    I was also at the point of throwing in the towel. But your WEB site looks interesting. So I have been following your trades. I actually made a couple $100 yesterday but should have gotten in to CNX today like you did but was too slow on the draw. My question is what leading indicators do you use to persuade you to trade like CNX and SPY and DIA. Thanks Dwight I really appreciate you sharing the way you are. I am also on VC each day. I hope to make TRADING my daily income.

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  20. Dwight-Cinco De Mayo day showed an interesting price pattern between 3 and 4PM on the SPY. There were 5 spikes where "someone" paid the 90.85 price when it was trading at or near 90.30. This can be seen on 1m, 5m, 15m charts for the day. It looks very suspicious.

    ReplyDelete