Pre-market futures are down, following through on yesterday's fade. I posted over the weekend that I can really sense the renewed tension out in the markets. Yesterday was a prime example as the bullish gap was quietly faded all day long. Bulls are selling into rallies since last Wednesday. The only real exception was Friday afternoon and that was most likely short-covering.
Financials are front and center again with AXP trying to get greater access to the bailout package, C announcing that it will modify mortgage terms on 500k homeowners (remember when I was telling Lenders to do this last January......), and FNM and FRE jumping on the "save the mortgages rather than let them foreclose" bandwagon. I don't know what to say anymore about the Lenders. The lack of foresight, prudence, and plain old common sense at the beginning of 2008 when even a nobody like me was telling them what to do is just a mind warping experience.....
Anyhooowww.....it looks like the market will take another leg down today. Keep track of Thursday's low, because if we breach that then the Dow may take a pop down into 8,500 and perhaps lower. Like I posted over the weekend, I can sense the tension in the markets. Traders didn't get the next set of "good news" they were hoping for and so the Bulls have been feeding stock back to the market. Maybe things will settle out soon, and we could still see tightening this week, but the tension will have to calm a bit and not turn into the dry heaves. After yesterday's bearish treatment of the bullish gap, I'm right back in to nibbler mode, playing the index ETF's, and playing from one short-term support to the next. Until we get signs that the market wants to confirm a bounce, there's no point in trying to get too fancy.
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
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Guess I should have bought some calls before the close, huh? Lol, I have no day trades yet but it looks like this could head down for a while. So if I see a well formed setup then I'm in puts.
ReplyDeleteJoe
This is like watching paint dry!
ReplyDeleteI'm putting in a stop loss at below support for my AMGN calls and going back to bed for a bit!
Here's to the fallen many brave Americans and Canadians that fought for our freedom...
It's Remembrance Day in Canada today.
Francis
Absolutely Francis!!! Also the brave that are still serving. I couldnt imagine a life without them. Thank you wherever you may be!
ReplyDeleteJeez, anyone making money today? Puts on the SPY couldn't have offered much profit intraday?
ReplyDeleteTEVA ( on Dwight's list) was also mentioned as a top pick by a guest on our Business News Network.
Earnings beat expectations and in a strong Industry group, broken above 30 day ma for 2 days now although low volume today; bears watching.
Francis
Oops, I meant puts in my above post!
ReplyDeleteBut yeah, I know what you mean Francis, were moving sideways. Looks like we just broke the resistance level of 8650 on the dow, so it looks to me as if were heading up to 8750 or maybe even higher?
Joe
HI Joe,
ReplyDeleteLooks like a spike up here, was there news out?
SPY has broken the psychological round no. of $90 and futures are bouncing up too.
Would you buy a DIA call now?
Francis
Francis,
ReplyDeleteI don't know, I didn't see any. I saw the rounding bottom and the reverse head and shoulders (kinda?) formation on the 5s, so I went ahead and got in some paper calls around 90 since I'm all outta real trades.... I'd wait till the break of 92, just because that looks like some short term support. If we break that I'd say were heading to at least 93, if not 94.
Joe
**short term resistance (I really gotta proof read these things)
ReplyDeleteJoe
right on Joe,
ReplyDeleteLooks like buyers are still facing strong resistance at short term points where sellers seem to be keen to sell into the rallies.
Drifting up slowly though.
Francis
Hi Everyone,
ReplyDeletePicked up APOL on the 5 day 15 min inverse H/S that completed today. Looking for $3 if it plays out. Stopped out of AAPL calls again! Stopped out of USO calls when oil fell below $60. I tried to pick up Dec DIA 88's at EOD, but Mr Market maker wanted the extra .5 and I wasn't giving it. We'll see what Dwight's take is. Don't forget his B-day tomorrow on VC. See ya in the AM.
Gary
Hey Gary,
ReplyDeleteWhat's your target price level on APOL? I'm seeing a zone between 72.5 and 75, you see the same?
Joe
Joe,
ReplyDeleteYes, it should break the neckline @ 71. The inverse H/S goes from 68 to 71 suggesting a 3 point move. Remember, if you miss the breakout, watch for a retest and hold of 71. I will ask Dwight tommorow on VC.
Good Luck,
Gary